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XO Market

Upcoming
Upcoming
AI AgentAutonomous Agents
Upcoming
This is an upcoming app, and it is not yet live or validated by community. The estimated launch date is 24 Sept '25.

About XO Market

Open conviction markets for all. Create, trade and share your beliefs with ❌⭕ Discord: https://discord.gg/CYx5gs2RvJ

XO Market introduces a groundbreaking paradigm called Conviction Markets, where strongly held beliefs become tradable digital assets. Unlike traditional prediction platforms that are restricted by centralized gatekeeping and shallow liquidity, XO empowers anyone to create, trade, and resolve markets on any future event in a permissionless, efficient, and decentralized way.


Leveraging Celestia's modular blockchain stack, a high-performance rollup, and AI-driven resolution, XO Market combines Web3 trustlessness with a sleek Web2-style UX. Adaptive liquidity ensures that even long-tail markets can thrive, while smart wallet abstraction and the social-style CrowdFeed interface make it accessible to everyday users.

The mission of XO Market is to make forecasting an open, community-powered economy where insight and belief translate into measurable financial value. Unlike centralized prediction markets, XO decentralizes both market creation and resolution — removing friction and bias from knowledge pricing.


At the core is the concept of Conviction Markets — open “Yes/No” markets where users can stake capital on outcomes they believe in. This transforms conviction into liquidity. Users can create any market, from major elections to niche predictions, and the crowd dynamically adjusts prices based on real-time sentiment.


XO integrates Liquidity-Sensitive LMSR mechanics to allow markets to auto-scale based on participation. Combined with MODRA (Market Outcome and Dispute Resolution Architecture), which uses AI plus decentralized jurors, XO Market offers both speed and fairness at scale.

  • Closed Alpha: Invite-only access to core trading, AI resolution, and simulated liquidity testing.
  • Community Rollout: Transition to real-value markets, user-generated content, and reward programs.
  • Scalability Enhancements: Integration of widgets, APIs, and no-code tools for ecosystem growth.
  • Governance Framework: Launch of a decentralized governance token to manage treasury and protocol parameters.

While the core team remains anonymous, XO Market is backed by top-tier investors including Delphi Ventures and Cyber Fund. Their involvement reflects high confidence in XO’s mechanism design, modular infrastructure, and long-term potential as a forecasting protocol.

XO Market is currently in Closed Alpha, with early users testing market creation, AI-based resolution, and adaptive liquidity systems. Participants can join the waitlist to gain early access and shape product direction ahead of the public rollout.

XO Market Suggestions by Real Users

You can be the star to make this app better! Write a suggestion to the developers and let’s build together!

XO Market FAQ

  • Conviction Markets let users turn personal beliefs into liquid, tradable assets. Unlike traditional platforms that limit what events can be listed, XO Market allows anyone to create and trade on any outcome, with real-time crowd consensus reflected in price.

  • XO Market uses an adaptive Liquidity-Sensitive LMSR pricing engine that scales with trading volume. This lets even small, user-seeded markets grow deep and stable as participation increases, making XO Market viable for long-tail topics.

  • Anyone can create a market in seconds using XO Market’s permissionless interface. No coding or approvals are needed. Just pose a question, define outcomes, and add a small seed—XO’s backend automates the rest via smart contract infrastructure.

  • XO’s MODRA system uses a hybrid of AI and decentralized jurors. AI proposes fast outcomes based on verified data, while human resolvers act as a fail-safe during disputes. This delivers speed and trust without centralized control in the XO Market ecosystem.

  • XO Market abstracts blockchain complexity with account abstraction, email/social logins, and gasless transactions. Users interact through a familiar social feed UI, making the onboarding experience fast and intuitive.

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